Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.183659 1.463222 1.770548 2.130510 2.537618 2.980961 3.497420
2025-06-08 0.792499 1.155863 1.597813 2.161514 2.848172 3.644971 4.626780
2025-06-15 0.583488 0.998042 1.551160 2.309371 3.288817 4.480636 6.009185
2025-06-22 0.420223 0.849454 1.477439 2.397647 3.648954 5.233208 7.331699
2025-06-29 0.294754 0.713643 1.387039 2.438492 3.936170 5.898887 8.570402
2025-07-06 0.191761 0.574463 1.257400 2.395899 4.093036 6.390877 9.597863
2025-07-13 0.131504 0.487865 1.189200 2.427162 4.343888 7.008257 10.800945
2025-07-20 0.087916 0.413798 1.123518 2.447532 4.570923 7.593537 11.972038
2025-07-27 0.051859 0.332844 1.023318 2.392990 4.673419 8.000423 12.906207
2025-08-03 0.028646 0.267057 0.934193 2.341069 4.768668 8.392250 13.822599
2025-08-10 0.016390 0.225756 0.886099 2.353622 4.961563 8.926592 14.945373
2025-08-17 0.007292 0.179188 0.809702 2.299836 5.037486 9.285067 15.823371
2025-08-24 0.004234 0.164336 0.813369 2.407112 5.394302 10.084957 17.364327
2025-08-31 0.001524 0.136637 0.771328 2.415164 5.580759 10.631441 18.553989
2025-09-07 0.000789 0.130517 0.793364 2.560604 6.012984 11.567277 20.328246
2025-09-14 0.000241 0.117729 0.789296 2.647829 6.344762 12.354544 21.899279
2025-09-21 0.000020 0.101241 0.765665 2.687582 6.591341 13.012940 23.291286
2025-09-28 NaN 0.078876 0.707963 2.639999 6.673463 13.410652 24.301788
2025-10-05 NaN 0.066775 0.685478 2.672323 6.903223 14.047424 25.677591
2025-10-12 NaN 0.055604 0.660217 2.693509 7.110638 14.650346 27.009355
2025-10-19 NaN 0.041302 0.607081 2.634964 7.159716 14.993969 27.952106
2025-10-26 NaN 0.030044 0.558412 2.579339 7.208857 15.335791 28.894637
2025-11-02 NaN 0.023906 0.536166 2.592672 7.394249 15.906452 30.195020